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Scenarios : The Art of Strategic Conversation
Scenario planning allows companies to move away from linear thinking and better understand external change.Eight years (and 30,000 copies) after publication Scenarios is still acknowledged as the definitive work in the field.Now, Kees van der Heijden brings his bestseller up to date, following up on his original case studies and adding significant new material.The Second Edition changes focus slightly by providing more in-depth analysis and application of the concept of the 'strategic conversation'.While maintaining the underlying rigour of the first edition, van der Heijden revisits the text to make it far more practical and accessible, and in doing so gives you the tools you need to set out and negotiate a successful future course for your organization in the face of significant uncertainty.
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Livre de Scenarios Sociaux
This older edition offers Carol Gray's original 'Social Stories', explaining what to do in everyday situations that spectrum children may find confusing.These simple stories help them understand particular situations, what a child might do in that situation, and what the outcome might be.
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On Escalation : Metaphors and Scenarios
In this widely discussed and influential book, Herman Kahn probes the dynamics of escalation and demonstrates how the intensification of conflict can be depicted by means of a definite escalation ladder, ascent of which brings opponents closer to all-out war.At each rung of the ladder, before the climb proceeds, decisions must be made based on numerous choices.Some are clear and obvious, others obscure, but the options are always there. Thermonuclear annihilation, says Kahn, is unlikely to come through accident; but nations may elect to climb the ladder to extinction.The basic material for the book was developed in briefings delivered by Kahn to military and civilian experts and revised in the light of his findings of a trip to Vietnam in the 1960s.In On Escalation he states the facts squarely. He asks the reader to face unemotionally the terrors of a world fully capable of suicide and to consider carefully the alternatives to such a path. In the never-never land of nuclear warfare, where nuclear incredulity is pervasive and paralyzing to the imagination even for the professional analyst, salient details of possible scenarios for the outbreak of war, and even more for war fighting, are largely unexplored or even unnoticed.For scenarios in which war is terminated, the issues and possibilities of which are almost completely unstudied, the situation is even worse.Kahn's discussion throws light on the terrain and gives the individual a sense of the range of possibilities and complexities involved and are useful.
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Windows Security Monitoring : Scenarios and Patterns
Dig deep into the Windows auditing subsystem to monitor for malicious activities and enhance Windows system security Written by a former Microsoft security program manager, DEFCON "Forensics CTF" village author and organizer, and CISSP, this book digs deep into the Windows security auditing subsystem to help you understand the operating system's event logging patterns for operations and changes performed within the system.Expert guidance brings you up to speed on Windows auditing, logging, and event systems to help you exploit the full capabilities of these powerful components.Scenario–based instruction provides clear illustration of how these events unfold in the real world.From security monitoring and event patterns to deep technical details about the Windows auditing subsystem and components, this book provides detailed information on security events generated by the operating system for many common operations such as user account authentication, Active Directory object modifications, local security policy changes, and other activities. This book is based on the author's experience and the results of his research into Microsoft Windows security monitoring and anomaly detection.It presents the most common scenarios people should be aware of to check for any potentially suspicious activity. Learn to: Implement the Security Logging and Monitoring policyDig into the Windows security auditing subsystemUnderstand the most common monitoring event patterns related to operations and changes in the Microsoft Windows operating system About the Author Andrei Miroshnikov is a former security program manager with Microsoft.He is an organizer and author for the DEFCON security conference "Forensics CTF" village and has been a speaker at Microsoft's Bluehat security conference.In addition, Andrei is an author of the "Windows 10 and Windows Server 2016 Security Auditing and Monitoring Reference" and multiple internal Microsoft security training documents.Among his many professional qualifications, he has earned the (ISC)2 CISSP and Microsoft MCSE: Security certifications.
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Gloomhaven - Solo Scenarios: Mercenary Challenges DLC
The Solo Scenarios: Mercenary Challenges DLC is the digital adaptation of the Solo Scenarios board game expansion for Gloomhaven, the critically acclaimed Ta...
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Rethinking Obsolete Typologies : Transformation Potentials and Scenarios
A profound social change can be observed in the areas of mobility, work and trade, as well as in the practice of faith, especially in cities.As a result, certain building typologies such as petrol stations, offices, shopping centers, cinemas and churches are being used less, thus becoming increasingly obsolete and contributing to the obsolescence of the city. Three strategies must be considered for the efficient transformation of these structures: the conversion of existing architecture and the preservation of the gray energy they embody; the maximization of land use; and the strengthening of ecological functions to improve the urban microclimate and the quality of living space. The authors analyze potential solutions, present conversion scenarios, and illustrate these in schematic diagrams. Analysis of obsolete architectural typologies in urban centers Realistic proposals for the recyclability of existing buildings Attractive graphics and presentations of potential solutions
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Youth Unemployment Scenarios : South Africa in 2040
This book examines the factors driving youth unemployment in South Africa, exploring potential future outcomes of its mass unemployment, and offering a variety of strategies to avoid an impending crisis in the country. Utilizing scenario analysis rooted in complex systems theory while building on statistical and fi eld research, the author illustrates four possible future states of youth employment in South Africa in the year 2040.This includes the South African version of the Arab Spring, where young people riot or agitate for extreme political and social change because of a belief that access to education and jobs is only possible through social status or corruption (Spring), fair access to a high number of jobs supported by Chinese interventions (Summer), a technology- driven decline in the number of jobs where merit- based access for youth is granted (Fall), and the collapse of the economy, with the economy collapsing and youth becoming increasingly desperate (Winter).The author then presents five strategies to fight youth unemployment, including training of youth to start businesses, stimulating small- and medium- sized enterprises, and sending unemployed youth abroad for skills development and to where their labour is needed. This book will be of interest to scholars of South African politics and economics, labour economics and youth studies, and readers with an interest in tackling youth unemployment independent of the country.
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Federated AI for Real-World Business Scenarios
This book provides an overview of Federated Learning and how it can be used to build real-world AI-enabled applications.Real-world AI applications frequently have training data distributed in many different locations, with data at different sites having different properties and different formats.In many cases, data movement is not permitted due to security concerns, bandwidth, cost or regulatory restriction.Under these conditions, techniques of federated learning can enable creation of practical applications.Creating practical applications requires implementation of the cycle of learning from data, inferring from data, and acting based on the inference.This book will be the first one to cover all stages of the Learn-Infer-Act cycle, and presents a set of patterns to apply federation to all stages.Another distinct feature of the book is the use of real-world applications with an approach that discusses all aspects that need to be considered in an operational system, including handling of data issues during federation, maintaining compliance with enterprise security policies, and simplifying the logistics of federated AI in enterprise contexts.The book considers federation from a manner agnostic to the actual AI models, allowing the concepts to be applied to all varieties of AI models.This book is probably the first one to cover the space of enterprise AI-based applications in a holistic manner.
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